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System Performance

The Football Frontier rating system has been in use since the 1997 season. It has predicted the winner in about 70% of games. After three seasons of making predictions using the point spread, I discovered (painlessly, in that no money was lost) that point spreads are very difficult to conquer, since teams are far more interested in simply winning games. So in 2010 I'm back to only tracking wins and losses.

WeekTotal I-A
Games
Straight UpPct.
Week 14033-7.825
Week 24533-12.733
Week 34831-17.646
Week 44733-14.702
Week 55338-15.717
Week 65242-10.808
Week 75035-15.700
Week 85029-21.580
Week 95337-16.698
Week 105235-17.673
Week 115743-14.754
Week 125640-16.714
Week 135442-12.778
Week 142218-4.818
Week 1586-2.750
Week 161612-4.750
Week 17126-6.500
Total715513-202.717

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