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System Performance

The Football Frontier rating system has been in use since the 1997 season. It has predicted the winner in about 70% of games. Beginning with the 2007 season, we are tracking the system's success both in predicting a winner in games, and in making predictions against the point spread.

WeekTotal I-A
Games
Straight UpPct.SpreadPct.
Week 14736-11.76623-20-4.532
Week 25037-13.74022-25-3.470
Week 35035-15.70025-22-3.530
Week 44832-16.66723-22-3.510
Week 55338-15.71724-28-1.462
Week 65433-21.61128-23-3.546
Week 75436-18.66729-22-3.565
Week 85333-20.62323-24-6.491
Week 95136-15.70626-24-1.520
Week 105240-12.76928-20-4.577
Week 115335-18.66026-24-3.519
Week 125135-16.68627-22-2.549
Week 134631-15.67418-24-4.435
Week 141812-6.6676-10-2.389
Week 1565-1.8332-4-0.333
Week 16159-6.6004-10-1.300
Week 17118-3.7278-2-1.773
Total712491-221.690342-326-44.511

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